I can’t be the only one who has noticed that this whole
Russia thing makes absolutely no sense.
Why is nobody in the media or even in political office asking some basic
questions about the alleged “hacking” by the Russians?
I don’t doubt the Russian ability to hack into e-mails and I
don’t doubt they would use information to their advantage if they thought they
could. But there is the problem… I don’t
see how the Trump victory is to the advantage of Putin. We as Americans are being asked to
believe this premise and I don’t buy it.
Putin is the epitome of a Machiavellian ruler. His mastery of realpolitik is unrivaled. He
is without a moral code and operates completely in the world of the
practical. The man will use any
advantage to improve the situation for Russia.
None of this is disputed. It is
why he is rightly feared by so many.
With this being the case, let’s look at why he would want
either Trump or Clinton as the leader of his biggest international rival:
Trump: The only
advantage for Putin is Trump's inexperience, but even that is of dubious value. Yes, he is inexperienced with politics but
that also makes him extremely unpredictable.
That lack of predictability makes him a frightening leader from the
Russian perspective. How will Trump
respond to Russian aggression in the Ukraine?
How about the Baltics or Syria?
It is all a bit of a mystery.
Everybody has opinions and guesses but there is no track record upon
which to base a decision.
One could argue that Trump has business connections with the
Russians that gives them an idea of what to expect but that is a weak
predictor. Clearly Trump’s business
acumen was used to promote Trump’s businesses but how does that translate into
how he would run the country? In the
case of Russia, it doesn’t mean a lot.
The only thing it means is that Trump enters office with at least a
modicum of understanding about the individuals with whom he will be dealing but
not much more.
Clinton: Hillary is a
completely different story. She has a
long track record upon which to formulate an opinion. This is the woman who thought Bush did such a
horrible job of dealing with Russia that she thought we needed to “reset” the
relationship. She showed up to her first
meeting with the foreign minister with a plastic button that she held aloft and
called the “reset button.” It was one of
the most embarrassing moments in US/Russian engagement. She looked like a complete idiot. If you want a chuckle, google search the video
of this encounter and look at the Russian foreign minister’s reaction.
She followed up by failing at every foreign policy challenge
during her tenure. Clinton and the Obama
administration were inept at recognizing what was happening in Egypt, Libya and
Syria. They didn’t understand the
situation on the ground in Afghanistan and Iraq. They capitulated to Iran. They still don’t know how to handle Chinese aggression
in the South or East China seas. They
were inept at thwarting Russia in the Crimea and don’t know how to handle the
Ukraine problem. Under Clinton and
Obama, Russian influence continues to grow unchecked. Weakness, ineptitude and reliance on a
misguided ideology defines US foreign policy under Clinton. That is exactly what a man like Putin thrives
upon.
But there is another reason Putin would have preferred
Clinton in office. That is his ability
to blackmail her. Remember those 33,000
missing e-mails? Do you really think
those were all about yoga classes and wedding plans? Those e-mails have never been found and a lot
of people think they exist in somebody’s server. Is it the Russians? It doesn’t matter. The fact that they were ever on an unsecured
server means they might have been hacked and could be released at any moment.
Think about that… let’s say Putin decides that he was unhappy
with the Baltic nations of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia. Those were part of the old Soviet Union and
hold real strategic value today. If
Putin made moves upon them, he could have placed a call to President Hillary
and remind her how terrible it would be if those e-mails suddenly were to
appear on Wikileaks. He could have held
that card over her whenever he needed to.
He wouldn’t even need to have them.
Just the idea that he might is all that would be needed. He would have had an awesome weapon to allow
him to continue to expand Russian influence without serious opposition from the
US.
If Clinton had won, Putin would have had a weak and inept
leader who was susceptible to blackmail.
With Trump, he has an inexperienced but unpredictable counterpart. Seriously… who do you think he wanted to win?
So why isn’t anybody in the media asking about this? Why are they just taking at face value that
the Russians interfered with the intent of helping Trump? It seems shockingly obvious that the motive
seems more than a little weak. Did they
do it in hopes of just further weakening Clinton but didn’t think she would
actually lose? Or maybe they didn’t do
it. Maybe it really was just poorly
secured e-mail accounts that Wikileaks managed to access. Maybe it was a variety of hackers who were
successful against the DNC and Podesta but wasn’t state sponsored. I don’t know…
All I do know is that the narrative pushed by the Obama
administration and parroted without question by the media doesn’t make any
sense. It irritates me that nobody is questioning the narrative. Even conservatives seem paralyzed by this and are afraid to ask real questions.